Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 513.816535 546.246669 579.935269 617.602705 658.614192 701.991006 751.439865
2026-01-11 471.596657 516.305162 564.616074 620.909275 684.966028 755.899310 840.818229
2026-01-18 441.408059 493.527133 551.472860 621.074877 702.940018 796.830649 913.615304
2026-01-25 421.191791 479.081525 544.967788 626.136933 724.316853 840.365798 989.623077
2026-02-01 405.157008 467.671758 540.271553 631.707399 745.071921 882.734184 1065.258381
2026-02-08 392.192375 458.658903 537.250175 638.222070 766.262493 925.669533 1143.135818
2026-02-15 378.218253 447.373982 530.442310 639.057621 779.585115 958.513425 1209.051766
2026-02-22 365.672037 437.019071 523.957469 639.482675 791.760046 989.773096 1273.968440
2026-03-01 355.610243 429.141039 519.962777 642.517335 806.975826 1025.238843 1346.185534
2026-03-08 344.656195 419.546243 513.177588 641.289306 816.027486 1052.324139 1407.706429
2026-03-15 335.465150 411.747964 508.234831 642.028963 827.422039 1082.769305 1475.455270
2026-03-22 326.606375 403.966773 502.882008 641.773351 837.122759 1110.928945 1541.134906
2026-03-29 318.388291 396.725506 497.942414 641.806333 847.124175 1139.906493 1609.867189
2026-04-05 312.061675 391.714796 495.711470 645.344154 862.068843 1176.595273 1692.695989
2026-04-12 304.928735 385.333032 491.314687 645.523329 871.940295 1205.952393 1765.494096
2026-04-19 300.077207 381.829237 490.653141 650.854355 889.447641 1247.546555 1860.819170
2026-04-26 295.701020 378.788244 490.453058 656.721268 907.850079 1291.269691 1962.591821
2026-05-03 291.905681 376.386758 490.997154 663.583751 927.917789 1338.479720 2073.607801
2026-05-10 286.373567 371.373499 487.640329 664.464000 938.651925 1371.080955 2161.142920
2026-05-17 280.993035 366.394285 484.133872 664.911802 948.599706 1402.726647 2249.059716
2026-05-24 276.728094 362.847637 482.535628 668.109013 962.930175 1442.234767 2354.262896
2026-05-31 271.318107 357.505475 478.141862 666.815172 969.874446 1469.468830 2438.213918
2026-06-07 266.766947 353.258662 475.195874 667.594463 980.132072 1502.777993 2536.285927